
Three quarters of everything sold in Dubai in the first half of 2026 was off-plan: 76% of transactions, up from 69% a year earlier. That is the market telling you where the marketing budget went, not where the value is. The way to see the value is to put the price of what was launched against the price of what already exists, in the same community, from the same register. The DLD records every sale, and for each community we hold two medians: the median of every registered apartment sale in the trailing 12 months, launches included, and the median of the sales where the unit already existed. The gap between them is the premium buyers are paying for new product over standing stock. It is not a like-for-like comparison, because a 2026 launch and a 2010 tower are different buildings, but it is the number that decides whether an off-plan price is cheap or dear against what you could own today.
| Community | All apartment sales (median) | Ready sales (median) | Gap | Rent median | Yield on ready |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumeirah Village Circle | AED 1.02M (12,627 sales) | AED 950,000 | +7% | AED 66,000 | 6.9% |
| Business Bay | AED 2.0M (7,219) | AED 1.51M | +32% | AED 95,000 | 6.3% |
| Dubai Marina | AED 2.7M (3,708) | AED 2.44M | +11% | AED 122,000 | 5.0% |
| Downtown Dubai | AED 2.9M (2,595) | AED 2.9M | 0% | AED 145,000 | 5.0% |
| Dubai Hills Estate | AED 2.03M (2,533) | AED 1.8M | +13% | AED 110,000 | 6.1% |
| Dubai Creek Harbour | AED 2.6M (3,932) | AED 2.45M | +6% | AED 131,250 | 5.4% |
| Jumeirah Lake Towers | AED 2.01M (2,887) | AED 1.36M | +48% | AED 87,000 | 6.4% |
| Dubai South | AED 958,000 (14,564) | AED 750,000 | +28% | AED 66,500 | 8.9% |
| Al Furjan | AED 1.5M (6,587) | AED 800,000 | +88% | AED 60,000 | 7.5% |
| Palm Jumeirah | AED 5.75M (1,168) | AED 4.4M | +31% | AED 202,450 | 4.6% |
Read the gap column with the community in mind. Downtown shows no premium because almost nothing new has launched inside the Burj Khalifa district; the market is the standing stock. Jumeirah Village Circle shows 7% because the launches there are priced to compete with the existing towers, not above them. Dubai Creek Harbour and Dubai Marina are in single digits or low teens for the same reason: dense, recent stock, launches priced against it. The large gaps are where the two products are furthest apart. Al Furjan’s 88% is not a launch selling at nearly twice a comparable flat; it is branded new towers against fifteen-year-old low-rise stock, with most of the register’s volume in the launches. Jumeirah Lake Towers at 48% and Business Bay at 32% are the same story in taller form: a 2026 launch on the water against a 2008 tower on the inside of the cluster. Palm Jumeirah at 31% is the branded-residence effect on top of an already expensive island. So the price answer is: off-plan is not cheap in 2026. In most communities the launch is priced at or above the ready market, and the old idea that you buy off-plan at a discount to ready has reversed in the areas with the most launches. What you are paying for is the product, the plan and the possibility that the building is worth more when it completes than it cost at launch. That can be true. It is not automatic, and the delivery pipeline for 2026 that consultancies put at roughly 66,000 to 70,000 homes is a reason to be selective rather than early.
The yield column is the one off-plan cannot compete on, because an off-plan unit yields nothing until it is handed over. A ready apartment bought at the median in Dubai South earns about 8.9% gross on registered rents, Al Furjan 7.5%, Jumeirah Village Circle 6.9%, and even Dubai Marina 5.0%. Two or three years of that is 15% to 25% of the purchase price in rent that an off-plan buyer on the same money never collects. The off-plan counter-argument is capital growth during construction, and in a rising market it has often been true: the unit is worth more at handover than it cost at launch. But that growth is uncertain and is only realised on sale, while the rent is contractual and lands monthly. An investor who needs income, or who is financing with a mortgage and wants the rent to carry it, has no real choice. An investor with cash who does not need the income is making a bet on the completion price against a known stream of rent, and should price the bet as one. One caution on the ready yields: the rent medians are whole-community, and a tenant will not pay a new-building rent for a tired unit. Run the rental yield calculator on this site on the actual building, and take the ready median as the ceiling on what an older unit fetches, not the floor.
Ready property carries one risk: the market. You own a title deed from the day of transfer, you can see the building, the service charge and the tenant, and the only thing that can move against you is the price. Off-plan carries the market risk plus three more, all of them managed by law rather than removed. The first is the developer. Since Law 8 of 2007 every instalment goes into a project-specific escrow account and the developer draws against certified construction progress, so a stalled project is a frozen account rather than a lost deposit. If RERA cancels a project the escrow is refunded through the committee set up by Decree 33 of 2020. Pay only into the registered escrow account; money paid elsewhere has none of this protection. The second is time. Almost every SPA gives the developer 6 to 12 months of grace past the anticipated completion date before anything is triggered, and a handover that slips a year is a year of no rent and no keys. The project completion checker on this site shows the RERA-inspected percentage for every registered project, and a percentage that has not moved between refreshes is the earliest honest warning. The third is you. If your circumstances change and you stop paying, Law 19 of 2017 lets the developer, after a 30-day DLD-supervised notice, terminate and keep up to 25% of what you paid where the project is under 60% complete and up to 40% between 60% and completion. On a ready purchase with a mortgage, the equivalent risk is the bank, and the Central Bank caps early settlement at 1% of the balance or AED 10,000. The scales are not comparable, and the off-plan one is the harsher.
The Central Bank caps a mortgage on a completed first home under AED 5 million at 80% of value for a resident expatriate, 85% for a UAE national, and caps any property still under construction at 50% for everyone. That single rule reshapes the cash needed. On an AED 2 million ready apartment the deposit is AED 400,000; on an AED 2 million off-plan unit the buyer funds half the price through the payment plan before a bank will lend against the rest, and until 2026 most banks would not lend at all until handover. That has changed in shape but not in cap. In Abu Dhabi, ADREC’s off-plan mortgage framework lets a buyer who has paid 50% have a bank registered on the unit before completion, with the bank funding the remaining instalments and the handover payment; Aldar and ADCB completed the first one on 4 September 2026. In Dubai the route runs through each bank’s approved-project list, usually at 40% built and 50% paid, with the Emirates NBD and Dubai Holding model at 30% built for Nakheel, Meraas and Dubai Properties launches. The off-plan mortgage checker on this site tells you whether a given project and stage qualifies. The practical consequence is that off-plan is a cash product for the first half of its life and a mortgage product only at the end, and the handover balance is where buyers come unstuck: the bank values the finished unit, not the launch price, and lends against the lower of the two. Ready property is a mortgage product from day one, tested against your income at the rate plus 2 points, with the loan at most 7 times annual income. The mortgage tool on this site runs both.
Both routes pay the 4% DLD fee once. On a ready purchase it is paid at the trustee office on transfer day, alongside the AED 580 admin fee, the trustee fee of AED 4,200 (AED 2,100 under AED 500,000), the agency commission of 2% plus VAT, and, with a mortgage, registration at 0.25% of the loan plus AED 290 and a valuation of AED 2,500 to 3,500. On off-plan the 4% is paid at Oqood registration at booking, with AED 3,000 to 5,500 in Oqood and administration charges, and is not charged again when the Oqood converts to a title deed at handover. On most launches the developer pays the broker, so no agency line appears on the buyer’s side; some launches also advertise a waived or absorbed DLD fee, which is a discount by another name and should be valued as one. The cost that differs most is not a fee. A ready unit starts paying service charges and, if financed, mortgage interest immediately, offset by rent. An off-plan unit pays neither until handover, and then pays both without rent until the first tenant signs. Model the first year after keys as a cost, not a neutral, and the comparison is honest.
Ready suits the buyer who needs income now, the buyer who is financing and wants the rent to carry the loan, the end-user who wants to move in this year, and anyone whose visa or Golden Visa timing depends on a title deed rather than an Oqood. It also suits the cautious: what you see is what you own. Off-plan suits the buyer with cash to fund half the price over the build, no need for income during it, and a view that the specific project will be worth more at completion than at launch. It suits buyers who want the plan’s cashflow more than a mortgage’s, and buyers in communities where the launch premium is small, which on the register today means Downtown, Dubai Creek Harbour, Jumeirah Village Circle and Dubai Marina rather than Al Furjan or Jumeirah Lake Towers. The compare projects tool on this site puts two launches, or a launch and a ready building, side by side on registered numbers, which is the only way to settle it for the unit you are actually looking at.
Usually not. In ten Dubai communities the all-sales apartment median sits between 0% and 88% above the ready median on the DLD register, with Downtown at 0%, Jumeirah Village Circle at 7% and Al Furjan at 88%. The premium is for new product, not a discount for waiting.
On registered rents against the ready sale median: about 8.9% gross in Dubai South, 7.5% in Al Furjan, 6.9% in Jumeirah Village Circle, 6.3% in Business Bay and 5.0% in Dubai Marina and Downtown, before service charges. An off-plan unit earns nothing until handover.
The Central Bank caps a first home under AED 5 million at 80% for a resident expatriate and any property under construction at 50%. Off-plan mortgages before handover exist on approved projects once 50% is paid, in Abu Dhabi under the ADREC framework and in Dubai on bank approved-project lists.
Yes, 4% once. Off-plan pays it at Oqood registration at booking with AED 3,000 to 5,500 in Oqood and admin charges; ready pays it at the trustee office on transfer day with the AED 580 admin fee and the trustee fee of AED 4,200.
It sits in the project’s escrow account under Law 8 of 2007, released to the developer only against certified progress. If RERA cancels the project the balance is refunded through the committee set up by Decree 33 of 2020. Money paid outside escrow is not protected the same way.
Ready. You hold a title deed and can list the day after transfer. Off-plan can usually be assigned once 30% to 40% is paid with the developer’s NOC, but a buyer who stops paying instead faces the Law 19 of 2017 scale of up to 25% or 40% of what was paid.
